Reimagining statecraft for a digital age
by AI, capital, and code.

Reimagining statecraft for a digital age by AI, capital, and code.

Navigating the New Systemic Interplays of Global Power, Tech and Finance.
Explore Tanvi’s Work
Policy 4.0
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A World in Flux

At the intersection of Technology, Finance, and Geopolitics, seismic shifts are underway.

The U.S. and China are locked in a race for tech supremacy. Digital currencies are redrawing monetary boundaries, while de-dollarization accelerates the rise of CBDCs and alternative payment rails. A multipolar world is emerging, with great powers vying for influence across emerging markets, as nations begin to prioritize real & productive growth. The pace of technological change and global upheaval is forcing policymakers to navigate unprecedented governance challenges.
Through my work, I decode these complexities for governments, institutions, and private-sector firms, crafting strategies that turn disruption into opportunity — enabling them not just to adapt, but to lead in the exponential age.
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About Me

“Innovation isn’t just about creating new tech — it’s about rethinking the systems that shape our world.”

Tanvi Ratna is a tech policy & geopolitical analyst with a decade of experience navigating the systemic interplays of global power, technology, and finance. Through Policy 4.0, her think tank, she has advised 44 governments and multilateral institutions like the G20, IMF, UN, World Bank, and BIS, across sectors like AI, Crypto, Digital public infrastructure (DPI), and manufacturing. Her work experience spans Capitol Hill, where she worked with the GOP House Committee (Foreign Affairs), leading EY’s blockchain team, and cofounding CAG- a pioneering political campaigns startup instrumental in PM Modi’s landmark victory.
Her analyses has been featured in outlets like CoinDesk, BBC, Al Jazeera, The Diplomat, CoinTelegraph, Fox News, Economic Times, etc, including translations in over 20 languages across 50+ countries. Tanvi’s distinctive value lies in her ability to anticipate emerging risks and structural shifts before they break into mainstream discourse. Her work regularly identifies second- and third-order effects of exponential technologies—whether modeling AI’s implications for labor-markets and industrial policy, reverse-engineering China’s CBDC playbook to map dollar system threats, or dissecting chokepoints across HiTech supply chains.
She brings a multi-faceted expertise drawing from firsthand immersion in fast-growing regions: witnessing UAE’s rapid economic transformation; working on Singapore’s model governance system; and implementing India’s billion-scale DPI projects. In the U.S., at Georgetown she learned from CIA analysts & military generals, while Capitol Hill revealed the trade-offs of managing people and power. These live environments have shaped her nuanced lens on global innovation and institutions.
On a personal front, Tanvi is a meditation teacher and biohacking enthusiast, channeling mindfulness and wellness to stay sharp for high-stakes challenges.

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Everyone is focused on U.S.-China tariff rollbacks. But the real shift is institutional - the creation of a "formal committee" to discuss currency misalignment, non-tariff barriers & market access. This is a systemic restructuring that was already foreshadowed by Miran. As I laid out in my episode on @TheBitcoinLayer, the U.S.–China economic imbalance—overconsumption vs overproduction—isn’t just a story about Americans being “addicted to debt and consumption.” Miran lays out that it is driven by the structure of the dollar system. Surplus nations like China suppress domestic consumption, overproduce, and accumulate dollar reserves—then recycle them into U.S. Treasuries. This dynamic props up the dollar, hollows out American industry, and sustains a trade imbalance that cannot self-correct. In November 2024, Stephen Miran—now Chair of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers—published a 41-page blueprint for addressing exactly this. He called it a “Triffin World”—where global reserve demand locks the U.S. into permanent deficits, and surplus economies into export dependence. The remedy, according to him? Re-anchor the trade-finance loop: → Align currency values with real economies. → Impose hard constraints on reserve accumulation. → Shift from ad hoc tariffs to systemic recalibration of flows. This new U.S.-China committee is early—but its scope tracks closely with Miran’s roadmap. It won’t make headlines. But it could be where Bretton Woods II begins to unwind—with both sides finally willing to speak in structural terms. He argued that if reserve dynamics don’t change, no amount of tariffs will rebalance global trade. Because what we’re living through isn’t merely a trade dispute. It’s a systemic misalignment—between how value is produced, stored, and consumed. These kinds of imbalances don’t stay economic. Left uncorrected, they become political. And eventually, they become war. What this new committee offers—for the first time—is a venue to rethink the system itself. #USChinaTrade #DollarSystem #StephenMiran #TriffinDilemma #BrettonWoods #Geoeconomics #TheBitcoinLayer #currencywars #reservecurrency #deglobalization #tradedeficit #geoeconomics
U.S.–China Tariff headlines are a distraction | Dollar System & Global Imbalances @TheBitcoinLayer
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For media inquiries, strategic collaborations, or discussions at the nexus of technology, policy, and geopolitics, please reach out via the platforms below:

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